2nd August 2013

All of the examples below are taken from the day before this website's launch. Although they have been had picked to demonstrate how the ratings can be used, they do go to show how much insight can be gained by using this website.

 

14.55 THIRSK

In the 14.55 race, our value odds suggested that Witchy Woman was a solid value bet as she opened at 7/1. She posessed the best average rating as well as the best recent rating, 2 solid indicators that she was in with a strong chance of winning. In the end, she was gambled into 4/1 and duly made all to take the prize.

14 55 Thirsk

 

16.40 THIRSK

Later on in the card, our ratings indicated that those towards the front of the market were fairly priced, and it could pay to look elsewhere. When this occurs, it often pays to look at some of the outsiders which could cause an upset. The value odds help us to identify which outsiders could be worth backing.

16 40 Thirsk

 

 

 

In this race, 5 of the outsiders looked particularly overpriced.

- Mujaadel (VO: 12.4, SP: 15.0)

- Destination Aim (VO: 14.6, SP: 26.0) 1ST @ 25/1

- Evanescent (VO: 15.1, SP: 26.0) 3RD @ 25/1

- Thrust Control (VO: 21.6, SP: 34.0)

- Nonaynever (VO: 22.6, SP: 34.0) 5TH @ 33/1

 

In the end, the race worked out almost perfectly. A number of the horses that we identified as not being of any value finished in the mid pack. DESTINATION AIM, a strong value selection, came home in front with EVANESCENT running well in 3RD. We were only denied a very juicy forecast when Hazza the Jazza came late to take 2nd.

 

 19.50 MUSSELBURGH

19 50 Musselburgh

This was another example of those at the front of the market looking fairly priced, with only Jedward looking like a value selection. Therefore, again, it was reasonable to look elsewhere for the winner and our odds again highlighted 2 value selections in particular.

- Midnight Dynamo (VO: 14.8, SP: 26.0) 3RD @ 25/1

- Noodles Blue Boy (VO: 25.5, SP (41.0) 1ST @ 40/1

 

As it was, I backed Jedward as one of my main selections in the race, but had a couple of token bets on the two outsiders mentioned above. Ultimately, the winner @ 40/1 more than covered the outlay on the Kevin Ryan trained Jedward !

 

20.00 NEWMARKET

 20 00 Newmarket

The 20.00 at Newmarket looked like an ideal race for those who just wished to follow our value ratings, and the horse our value ratings select as favourite. DUCHESS OF GAZELY had alreadh shown her ability on her prior career starts, and our Value odds suggested she should be as short as 4.1 to add another victory. She opened at 7.5 which was almost double our value odds, and still went off a very tasty 7.0. Apart from the outsider of the field, trained by David Elsworth, there were never many dangers and the Duchess came home 1 length to the good. What also enthused me about this race was the fact that the other two horses noted as value at the front of the market finished 3rd and 4th, only beaten by the main value selection and an outsider.